Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/20/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 20, 2023

Updated Apr 21, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-158/+128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -158.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has compiled 1.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games, 0.5 higher than he's compiled in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 28.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the league over the last 15 games while on the road.
The Warriors have played at the quickest pace in the league this year, which should raise opportunities for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (11.9) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling tends to lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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