Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 18, 2023 1:37 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has posted 4.6 rebounds per game this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- near the top of the league in this category in recent games.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.1 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Kings.
Keegan Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to increases stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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