Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has compiled 1.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's compiled in all games this season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.3 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 76th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Kings.
Keegan Murray will possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually boosts stat production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.3 higher than he's been called for in all games this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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