Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 5, 2023

Updated Apr 6, 2023 12:31 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +120 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 2.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games, 1.1 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 29.0 minutes per game away from home this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.
The Mavericks have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court, which should boost possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's been called for over the course of the season.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
The Mavericks have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to lowers stat production in all stat categories.

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