Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 29, 2023

Updated Mar 30, 2023 1:49 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 3.9 defensive rebounds per game this year on the road, putting him among the hottest players in the NBA in this category recently: 81st percentile.
Keegan Murray has averaged 29.1 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking him in the 76th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing away from home.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's committed overall this season.
The Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Trail Blazers have given up the most offensive rebounds per game (12.3) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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