Keegan Murray Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2023

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Feb 11, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has totaled 5.6 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 2.5 more than he's totaled in all games this year at home.
Keegan Murray has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 6.2 more than he's played overall this season at home.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games while at home.
Keegan Murray will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing in your home stadium tends to improves player production across the board.

Favors Under

The Mavericks have played at the slowest pace in the NBA while traveling this year, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

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