Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 22, 2025

Updated Nov 22, 2025 10:44 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -135 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 3rd-most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
With respect to getting to the foul line, the Sacramento Kings's impressive 24.9 free throw attempts per game while playing away from home measures as the 8th-best in the league over the last 8 games.

Favors Under

This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, resulting in a hard matchup.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and spark more opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 1stworst in in the league away from home with just 8.4 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (fewest in the NBA) vs. the Nuggets, making it tough to draw fouls.

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