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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-140/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has sunk 3.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.0 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season while playing at home.

Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.3 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Kings check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 field goal attempts per game (highest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, creating a positive matchup.

The Kings will likely see a rise in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 6th-speediest pace visiting team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, registering a massive 2.5 fouls per game at home this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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