Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 2, 2025

Updated Apr 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -136.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 51.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 8.1% more than he's made over the course of the year.
Keegan Murray has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this year.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 14.6 field goal attempts per game (7th-most in the league) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The Kings have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court usually worsens player performance in all stat categories.

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