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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/29/2025

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings

 
 
 
Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Keegan Murray has successfully made 3.6 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's made from beyond the arc over the course of the year.
  • Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling an enormous 34.6 minutes per game this year.
  • The matchup vs. Orlando is a positive one for shots from the field; when the Magic are playing at home, the other team's starting PFs have put up the 10th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (49.9%).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and generate more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 10th-best in in the league on the road with 11.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
  • Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 16.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray registers in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.5 fouls per game away from home this year.
  • In terms of three-pointers, the Kings's unimpressive 33.5% rate of drained threes while playing away from home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing on the road.
  • The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this contest from facing the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Magic).
  • Keegan Murray will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling tends to lower stat production in all facets of the game.

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