Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/24/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics · Mar 24, 2025

Updated Mar 25, 2025 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 7.0 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 34.6 minutes per game this year.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the NBA while on their home court with 12.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 14.3% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Keegan Murray will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the season at home.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league playing at home this year in regard to 3-point attempts.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 14.5 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Celtics, branding this as a difficult matchup for offensive performance.
The 2nd-slowest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings will likely suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from being pitted against the most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 25 games (the Celtics).

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