Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/14/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Phoenix Suns vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 14, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has tallied 34.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year.
Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 15.4% higher than he's put through the net over the course of the season.
The matchup against Phoenix may be a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.3 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Phoenix Suns are on their home court (2nd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has attempted a mere 10.7 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 12.8 rate last season.
Keegan Murray has tallied 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (91st percentile).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 29.1% on 3-pointers (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, designating this as a hard matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games when playing away from home.
The Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities today from facing the 4th-slowest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Phoenix Suns).

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