Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/7/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 7, 2025

Updated Mar 8, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 2.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.7 more than he's made in all games this year.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 94th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 34.4 minutes per game this year.
When it comes to offense, the Kings's exceptional 119.0 points per game measures as the 5th-highest in the league over the last 25 games.
The Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this contest from facing the 3rd-fastest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
The matchup against San Antonio may be a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a monstrous 3.9 free throws per game over the last 24 games when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team (4th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has attempted a measly 10.7 shots from the field per game this season, significantly less than his 12.8 rate last season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 2.5 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (87th percentile).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year in terms of three-point shots.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting PFs have scored 15.8 points per game (5th-lowest in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, labeling this as a tough matchup for offensive efficiency.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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