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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 3/5/2025

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has converted 3.2 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.

Keegan Murray has tallied 34.7 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 94th percentile.

The Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this game from facing the 5th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league this year (the Nuggets).

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 20 games as the visting team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In comparison to last season's 12.8 rate, Keegan Murray's shots have dropped this season to 10.7 per game.

Keegan Murray has tallied 2.5 personal fouls per game while on the road this year, ranking him in the 85th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA as the road team this year.

This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 three attempts per game (4th-lowest in the league) vs. the Nuggets, identifying this as a tough matchup.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

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