Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/1/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 1, 2025

Updated Mar 2, 2025 4:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 77th percentile for field goal attempts, putting up 10.8 per game this year.
Keegan Murray has successfully made 2.8 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's made from downtown in all games this season.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, totaling an enormous 34.7 minutes per game this year.
The Rockets have played at the 7th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should lead to increased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 5th-best in in the NBA with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a colossal 2.6 fouls per game on the road this year.
When it comes to threes, the Kings's subpar 33.2% rate of made threes on the road ranks 3rd-lowest in the league this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on threes (worst in the league) vs. the Rockets, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases stat production in all facets of the game.

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