Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-104/-122).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -122.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 40.2% of his treys over the last 10 games, 8.7% higher than he's made from three in all games this year.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, compiling a massive 34.7 minutes per game this year.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 24.0 points per game (most in the NBA) vs. the Utah Jazz, marking this as a strong matchup for offensive output.
The Jazz have played at the 10th-speediest tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to increase plays for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has attempted a lowly 10.7 shots per game this year, a significant dropoff from his 12.8 rate last year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, putting him in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled.
When it comes to threes, the Kings's unimpressive 32.9% rate of made threes as the away team settles in as the 3rd-fewest in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home court.
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage tends to reduce player performance in all stat categories.

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