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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Keegan Murray has attempted 5.3 three-pointers per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, logging a colossal 34.9 minutes per game this year.This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 55.8% on field goal attempts (highest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, labeling this as a favorable matchup.The Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court.Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 12.8 rate, Keegan Murray's field goal attempts have tailed off this year to 10.7 per game.Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, logging a whopping 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-least aggressive offense in the league when playing at home this year with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.The Charlotte Hornets have played at the 5th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
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