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Keegan Murray

Keegan Murray Points
Player Prop - 2/21/2025

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Keegan Murray has played 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The matchup against the Warriors is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).

The 3rd-most up-tempo tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

The Golden State Warriors have played at the 5th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.

The Kings have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Relative to last year's 12.8 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have diminished this year to 10.7 per game.

In comparison to last year's 6.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shot attempts from beyond the arc have tailed off this year to 5.6 per game.

Keegan Murray has committed 2.5 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's poor 34.4% rate of made threes settles in as the 4th-lowest in the NBA this year.

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