Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 12:33 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 45.0% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 11.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season when playing away from home.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray slots into the 83rd percentile for shots from behind the three-point arc, registering 5.6 per game this year.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 94th percentile for playing time, logging a massive 34.7 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more plays for the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA when playing on the road this year.
The matchup vs. the Pelicans is a challenging one for field goal attempts; opposing starting SFs have tallied the least FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (9.1).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city usually worsens player production across the board.

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