Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 52.5% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 8.4% higher than he's made over the course of the year on the road.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, tallying 5.6 per game this year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 34.7 minutes per game when playing away from home this year, putting him in the 94th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games, which should boost plays for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league while on the road this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied 3.4 three attempts per game (5th-fewest in the NBA) against the Pelicans, designating this as a challenging matchup.
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally worsens player performance across the board.

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