Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/10/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 10, 2025

Updated Feb 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+104/-128).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -128.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 54.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games on the road, 10.8% more than he's put through the hoop over the course of the season without the home court advantage.
Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, putting him in the 83rd percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying a colossal 34.9 minutes per game on the road this year.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 16.0 shot attempts per game (most in the league) vs. the Dallas Mavericks, branding this as a favorable matchup.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 4th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
With respect to threes, the Sacramento Kings's unimpressive 32.6% rate of sunk threes away from their home court comes in as the 3rd-weakest in the league this year.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in plays in this contest from facing the 7th-slowest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.5 free throws per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Mavericks, making it tough to draw fouls.
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home court usually lowers player performance in all facets of the game.

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