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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-122/-104).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -104.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Keegan Murray has converted 53.9% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 10.2% more than he's made in all games this season away from his home court.Keegan Murray has sunk 2.6 threes per game over the last 10 games on the road, 0.6 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year without the home court advantage.Keegan Murray has been on the court for 34.9 minutes per game on the road this year, ranking in the 94th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in added chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.0 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 4.0 foul shots per game (7th-most in the NBA) against the Trail Blazers, easily managing to draw fouls.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, averaging a colossal 2.7 fouls per game while on the road this year.In regard to threes, the Kings's poor 32.6% rate of sunk threes away from home settles in as the 2nd-weakest in the NBA this year.This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting SFs have totaled 8.4 shot attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Portland Trail Blazers, creating a difficult matchup.The 8th-least up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games in their home city, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.
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