Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 3, 2025

Updated Feb 4, 2025 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has successfully made 49.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 6.9% higher than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 three-pointers per game this year, ranking in the 84th percentile out of all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray slots into the 94th percentile for playing time, tallying an enormous 34.7 minutes per game when playing on the road this year.
The 3rd-fastest tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
The Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league when playing on the road this year.
The matchup against the Timberwolves is a challenging one; they have given up the least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in opportunities today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Timberwolves).
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.