Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/25/2025

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

New York Knicks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 25, 2025

Updated Jan 26, 2025 3:01 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-124/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 10.8 field goals per game this year, putting him in the 77th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has converted 3.4 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.4 more than he's converted overall this season while playing away from home.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 95th percentile for playing time, compiling a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The fastest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (93rd percentile).
With respect to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 32.6% rate of drained threes as the road team settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA this year.
This year when they are away from home, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 18.6% on three-pointers (weakest in the NBA) against the Knicks, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The New York Knicks have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should reduce opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
The matchup against New York is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted just 2.6 free throws per game this year when the Knicks have the home court advantage (5th-least in the NBA).