Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 3:04 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-119/-109).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 3.6 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 35.5 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the league: 95th percentile.
The Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 9.4% higher than he's sunk overall this year playing at home.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.8 fouls per game this year.
With respect to 3-point attempts, the 6th-least aggressive team in the NBA while at home this year has been the Kings.
This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 21.7% on three-pointers (lowest in the league) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a difficult matchup.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

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