Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/14/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 14, 2025

Updated Jan 15, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 3.0 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray places in the 95th percentile for playing time, posting an enormous 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The matchup against the Bucks is a strong one for three-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most 3-pointers per game in the league this year (1.8).
The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest pace in the league when playing on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see an increase in plays in this contest from facing the 5th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game away from his home court this year, placing him in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's highest-fouling.
When it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc, the Kings's feeble 31.9% rate of sunk threes away from home rates 2nd-fewest in the NBA this year.
Over the last 25 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks, finding it difficult to get to the charity stripe.
Keegan Murray will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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