Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 1/12/2025

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Sacramento Kings · Jan 12, 2025

Updated Jan 13, 2025 3:00 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 3.0 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.1 more than he's converted from beyond the arc in all games this season when playing away from home.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray rates in the 95th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 35.4 minutes per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league while playing on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Chicago Bulls).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray places in the 95th percentile for personal fouls, averaging a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The Kings rank as the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league without the home court advantage this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 11.5 shot attempts per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) against the Bulls, resulting in a tough matchup.
Keegan Murray will likely see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this matchup.

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