Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 97th percentile for playing time, logging an enormous 36.2 minutes per game this year.
In regard to scoring, the Sacramento Kings's exceptional 126.2 points per game rates highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Los Angeles Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from downtown; the opposition's starting PFs have tallied the most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.6).
The Kings have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 10.4% more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 6.7 mark, Keegan Murray's shot attempts from downtown have regressed this season to 5.5 per game.
Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the NBA (96th percentile).
The Kings are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace visiting team in the league over the last 10 games (the Lakers).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further chances for scoring and assists, but the Sacramento Kings rank 10thworst in in the league with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 15 games, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 2.2 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Los Angeles Lakers, making it tough to get to the free-throw line.

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