Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 12/5/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Sacramento Kings · Dec 5, 2024

Updated Dec 6, 2024 12:59 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 5.6 shots from behind the three-point arc per game this year, ranking in the 80th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Keegan Murray has averaged 36.9 minutes per game away from his home court this year, putting him in the 97th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
When it comes to offense, the Sacramento Kings's terrific 113.4 points per game as the road team places 9th-highest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Kings have played at the 7th-fastest pace in the league over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Memphis Grizzlies have played at the fastest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, compiling a colossal 2.9 fouls per game on the road this year.
The matchup against Memphis is a hard one for 3-point attempts; when the Memphis Grizzlies are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-least three attempts per game in the league this year (3.0).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray will not have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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