Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/25/2024

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Oklahoma City Thunder · Nov 25, 2024

Updated Nov 26, 2024 2:49 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 5.7 three-point shots per game this year, ranking him in the 79th percentile among all players in the league.
Keegan Murray has averaged 36.1 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 96th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Sacramento Kings will likely get a boost in opportunities in this game from competing against the fastest tempo visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).
As a team, the Kings have been great at getting to the foul line while on their home court: 6th-best in the NBA this year, tallying 25.3 foul shots per game.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a good one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a massive 4.9 foul shots per game this year when the Oklahoma City Thunder are on the road (7th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has attempted and missed 6.6 shot attempts from the field per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league in this category: 77th percentile for misses .
Keegan Murray has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (97th percentile).
Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have registered 11.0 points per game (3rd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Thunder, branding this as a hard matchup for offensive production.
The 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).