Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/24/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 24, 2024

Updated Nov 25, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/-100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 79th percentile for 3-point attempts with the home court advantage, registering 5.8 per game this year.
Keegan Murray has tallied 36.1 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 15 games.
Keegan Murray has made 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games at home, 12.5% more than he's made overall this season at home.
Keegan Murray is expected to get a boost in efficiency across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has accumulated 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most foul-prone players in the league (96th percentile).
The matchup against Brooklyn is a difficult one; when the Brooklyn Nets are on the road, they have allowed the least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (11.4).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Kings will likely experience a decrease in plays in this game from facing the most sluggish pace-of-play offense in the league this year (the Brooklyn Nets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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