Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/15/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Minnesota Timberwolves · Nov 15, 2024

Updated Nov 16, 2024 3:25 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-123/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 6.1 3-pointers per game this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 98th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 36.6 minutes per game when playing at home this year.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league over the last 12 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 8th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should raise possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 75th percentile (high is bad, in this case) for unsuccessful field goals, putting up a massive 6.6 per game this year.
Keegan Murray has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (91st percentile).
This year, the opposition's starting SFs have shot 40.6% on field goals (3rd-weakest in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, designating this as a tough matchup.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves is a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting SFs have attempted just 2.4 free throws per game this year (10th-least in the league).

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