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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-120/-110).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -110.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 83rd percentile for shot attempts from downtown, averaging 6.2 per game this year.Keegan Murray has played 37.4 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 98th percentile.With respect to drawing fouls, the Kings's fantastic 29.0 foul shot attempts per game as the home team ranks 2nd-best in the league this year.Over the last 5 games when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 7.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, easily managing to get to the foul line.Keegan Murray stands to see a spike in efficiency in all stat categories in light of holding the home court advantage in this game.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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In contrast to last year's 33.7% mark, Keegan Murray's three-point proficiency has declined this year to 24.8%.Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, posting an enormous 3.0 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 0.9 three-pointers per game (lowest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns, labeling this as a difficult matchup.The Kings have played at the 10th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA playing at home this year.The Suns have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which should reduce plays for the Sacramento Kings.
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