Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 11, 2024

Updated Nov 12, 2024 4:03 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray lands in the 81st percentile for 3-point attempts, compiling 6.3 per game this year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 38.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 99th percentile.
With respect to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's stellar 120.4 points per game while playing on the road settles in as the 4th-best in the league over the last 5 games.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play road team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 76th percentile for free-throw ability on the road with a terrific 90.0% rate this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.
The matchup vs. San Antonio is a difficult one; when the San Antonio Spurs are playing at home, they have given up the 4th-least points per game in the league to opposing starting PFs over the last 5 games (13.0).
The Spurs have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA on their home court this year, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray stands to suffer a drop-off in effectiveness in all stat categories as a result of playing on the visting team in this game.

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