Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Miami Heat vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 8:45 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 5.8 shots made from the field per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from downtown, totaling 6.7 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 96th percentile for playing time, putting up a massive 37.5 minutes per game when playing away from home this year.
As it relates to offense, the Kings's terrific 120.4 points per game places 5th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they are on the road, opposing starting PFs have averaged 46.4% on threes (best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, branding this as a positive matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, registering a monstrous 3.0 fouls per game away from his home court this year.
The Sacramento Kings will likely experience a decrease in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and result in additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 9thworst in in the league with a mere 9.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 foul shots per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.
Keegan Murray will likely experience a decrease in efficiency in all stat categories on account of playing on the visting team in this contest.