Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -129 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -132.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 81st percentile for shots from the field while playing on the road, registering 12.0 per game since the start of last season.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for shot attempts from beyond the arc, registering 6.7 per game since the start of last season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 33.4 minutes per game when playing away from home since the start of last season, putting him in the 89th percentile -- seeing the court more than most players in the league.
When it comes to shooting, the Kings's impressive 117.8 points per game rates 7th-most in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Raptors is a strong one for three-point attempts; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 5th-most three attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game when playing away from home since the start of last season.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 7.4 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Raptors may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.7 free throws per game over the last 25 games (2nd-least in the NBA).
Keegan Murray will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally worsens stat production in all stat categories.