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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-115/-105).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -105.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Keegan Murray has attempted 12.8 field goals per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 92nd percentile for three-point attempts, averaging 6.7 per game since the start of last season.Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray lands in the 89th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 33.8 minutes per game since the start of last season.The Kings have been the 8th-highest scoring offense in the league since the start of last season.Over the last 5 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 6.0 foul shots per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Timberwolves, making it fairly effortless to draw fouls.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game since the start of last season.This year, opposing starting PFs have tallied 14.5 points per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, resulting in a challenging matchup for offensive effectiveness.The Kings will likely suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 4th-most lethargic tempo offense in the league since the start of last season (the Minnesota Timberwolves).As a team, the Sacramento Kings have been lousy at drawing fouls: 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season, totaling just 20.8 foul shot attempts per game.
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