Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:03 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-109/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 10.4 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 39.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray has converted 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 17.2% more than he's converted in all games this season.
Keegan Murray stands to see a rise in performance in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the other team's starting SFs have compiled 12.1 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Trail Blazers, marking this as a hard matchup for offensive output.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).

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