Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 4/2/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Apr 2, 2024

Updated Apr 2, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-141/+106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -134 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -141.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has converted 7.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Keegan Murray has converted 4.0 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's converted from 3-point range in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
Keegan Murray figures to see an increase in output across the board in light of possessing the home court advantage in this game.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.8 personal fouls per game playing at home this year, putting him in the 92nd percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
In regard to shooting, the Sacramento Kings's lackluster 45.1% field goal percentage measures as the 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.
This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing starting SFs have shot 43.3% on shot attempts from the field (5th-worst in the league) against the Clippers, designating this as a tough matchup.
The 7th-most sluggish pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Clippers have played at the slowest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

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