Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/29/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 29, 2024

Updated Mar 30, 2024 1:02 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-141/+106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has sunk 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Keegan Murray has attempted 8.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games playing at home, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this year at home.
Keegan Murray has averaged 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 90th percentile.
The Kings are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Mavericks).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 6th-best in in the league with 11.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray measures in the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, tallying a colossal 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Kings have been the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 20 games.
Over the last 15 games, the opposition's starting SFs have put up 11.4 points per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Mavericks, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive production.
This year when they are at home, the opposition's starting SFs have attempted 1.6 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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