Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/26/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 26, 2024

Updated Mar 27, 2024 1:32 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has made 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's put through the net in all games this year.
Keegan Murray has attempted 8.2 three-pointers per game over the last 5 games while playing at home, 1.5 higher than he's attempted overall this year at home.
Keegan Murray has played 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 90th percentile.
The Mavericks have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road, which ought to increase possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 10th-least efficient shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting SFs have compiled 11.4 points per game (2nd-fewest in the league) against the Dallas Mavericks, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive efficiency.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.6 foul shots per game this year when the Dallas Mavericks are away from home (2nd-least in the league).

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