Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Orlando Magic vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 23, 2024

Updated Mar 23, 2024 11:01 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 9.7 rate, Keegan Murray's field goal attempts have spiked this year to 12.1 per game.
Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray registers in the 87th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 32.4 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
The matchup against the Orlando Magic is a good one for threes; opposing starting SFs have tallied the 8th-most shots from behind the three-point arc per game in the league this year (1.9).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank best in in the NBA on the road with 13.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Keegan Murray has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games on the road, 17.9% more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year away from home.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.7 fouls per game while playing on the road this year.
The Kings rank as the 4th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should reduce possessions for the Sacramento Kings.
Keegan Murray stands to suffer a reduction in productivity in all facets of the game considering playing away from home in this game.

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