Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Washington Wizards vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 21, 2024

Updated Mar 21, 2024 11:08 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-160/+116).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.2 shots from the field per game this season, significantly more than his 9.7 mark last season.
Keegan Murray has been on the court for 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 87th percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup vs. Washington is a strong one for field goals; when the Wizards are at home, the other team's starting SFs have shot for the 4th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (50.2%).
The 10th-fastest pace away offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
The Wizards have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league this year, which ought to increase possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
With respect to 3-point shots, the Kings's subpar 33.6% rate of drained threes places 7th-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
Keegan Murray will not possess the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces player performance across the board.

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