Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 20, 2024

Updated Mar 20, 2024 11:46 PM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-115/-115).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's field goal attempts have surged this season to 12.2 per game.
Keegan Murray has played 32.5 minutes per game without the home court advantage this year, placing him in the 87th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play away team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to see a spike in opportunities in this game from competing against the speediest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Raptors).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has committed 2.6 personal fouls per game away from home this year, placing him in the 89th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 9th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 15 games.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing starting SFs have totaled 3.1 three attempts per game (fewest in the league) vs. the Toronto Raptors, resulting in a hard matchup.
Keegan Murray ought to see a decline in efficiency in all facets of the game in light of being on the road in this game.

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