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Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-118/-104).
The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -118.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Relative to last season's 9.7 rate, Keegan Murray's shots taken have risen this season to 12.1 per game.Out of all players in the league, Keegan Murray slots into the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a colossal 33.0 minutes per game this year.This year when they are at home, opposing starting SFs have averaged 48.0% on 3-pointers (highest in the NBA) vs. the New York Knicks, branding this as a strong matchup.The Kings have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 6th-best in in the league with 11.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Among all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray ranks in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, averaging an enormous 2.7 fouls per game this year.The Knicks have played at the most lethargic pace in the league this year, which ought to lead to decreased possessions for the Sacramento Kings.As it relates to getting to the free-throw line, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 17.2 free throws per game rates 2nd-worst in the NBA over the last 15 games.Over the last 10 games when they are on their home court, the other team's starting SFs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (7th-fewest in the NBA) against the New York Knicks, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
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