Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/13/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Los Angeles Lakers · Mar 13, 2024

Updated Mar 14, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-157/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -157.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.1 field goals per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 9.7 rate last season.
Keegan Murray has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the league: 88th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Lakers is a positive one for shot attempts from beyond the arc; the opposing team's starting SFs have averaged the most 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (5.8).
The 3rd-speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has averaged 2.7 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (91st percentile).
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Kings rank 9thworst in in the league while at home with only 9.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup against the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting SFs have attempted a measly 1.9 foul shots per game over the last 15 games (least in the NBA).

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