Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Milwaukee Bucks · Mar 12, 2024

Updated Mar 13, 2024 1:36 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+102/-124).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ +102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup vs. the Milwaukee Bucks is a good one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 7th-most threes per game in the NBA this year (1.8).
The 9th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Kings.
The Milwaukee Bucks have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Sacramento Kings.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 4th-best in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

With respect to 3-pointers, the Kings's feeble 33.9% rate of converted threes measures as the 2nd-fewest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo is a tough one; he has given up just 14.2 points per game when squaring off against fellow starting PFs this year (3rd percentile).
The matchup vs. Giannis Antetokounmpo is a tough one for drawing fouls; when Antetokounmpo is on the visiting team and matched up against opposing starting PFs this year, they have attempted a mere 2.4 free throws per game (7th percentile).

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