Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Mar 10, 2024

Updated Mar 11, 2024 2:56 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 9.7 clip, Keegan Murray's shots from the field have jumped this season to 12.1 per game.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Kings.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which ought to boost plays for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce new chances for scoring and assists).
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 17.9% more than he's converted overall this year.

Favors Under

The matchup against the Rockets is a tough one for 3-pointers; the other team's starting PFs have shot for the lowest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (21.7%).
In terms of getting to the free-throw line, the Sacramento Kings's subpar 17.6 foul shot attempts per game places 4th-worst in the NBA over the last 10 games.

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