Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Los Angeles Lakers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 6, 2024

Updated Mar 7, 2024 2:02 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-121).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.3 field goals per game this season, a big improvement over his 9.7 mark last season.
Keegan Murray has averaged 37.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.6 more than he's averaged overall this year.
This year, opposing starting PFs have totaled 5.6 3-point attempts per game (30th-most in the league) against the Lakers, marking this as a positive matchup.
The Kings are expected to see an increase in opportunities today from facing the 4th-fastest pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Lakers).
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Keegan Murray ranks in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.6 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
When it comes to 3-point shots, the Kings's poor 33.8% rate of successful threes away from home rates 6th-fewest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-most sluggish pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
Over the last 25 games, opposing clubs have grabbed 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (highest in the NBA) vs. the Los Angeles Lakers (maintaining possessions that can lead to extra chances for offense).
The matchup vs. the Lakers may be a hard one for getting to the foul line; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.2 free throws per game over the last 15 games (15th-least in the NBA).

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