Keegan Murray Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

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Keegan Murray

NBA · Player Props

Keegan Murray

F · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Keegan Murray Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-160/+125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -160.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Keegan Murray has attempted 12.3 field goals per game this year, a significant increase from his 9.7 rate last year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Keegan Murray slots into the 86th percentile for playing time, totaling a monstrous 32.2 minutes per game while on the road this year.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
Keegan Murray has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 19.1% more than he's made overall this year.

Favors Under

Keegan Murray has been called for 3.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's been called for overall this season.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have averaged 3.7 3-point attempts per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Denver Nuggets, labeling this as a hard matchup.
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).

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